Overview of the London Commercial Property Market – 2nd Quarter 2016

The London commercial property market started the year with moderate rental growth levels and a slight decrease in investment levels. As expected, the second quarter of the year has been marked by the results of the EU referendum vote, which has had a direct effect over the property market creating a rather volatile situation in most property sub-markets, but especially in those with high levels of foreign activity, such as London.

Although there seems to be no agreement on the long-term effect of the uncertainty caused by the referendum results, most analysts agree that a weaker pound may attract foreign investors who want to add to their portfolio by acquiring commercial properties in London while the exchange rates are favourable. See below for a detailed report on the latest trends affecting the London commercial property market during the past 3 months.

Office Market

During the second quarter of 2016, monthly office take up rates were just under 1 million square feet, below the past decade’s historical average (1.1 million). May was the best month for the office market, with over 900,000 square feet of office space taken up. There were virtually no changes in availability rates, and according to researchers at CBRE, 12.9 million square feet are currently available in the British capital.

Post-EU referendum uncertainty has affected the office market, as a number of prospective investors have put enquiries on hold, while others who already own office properties in London are debating whether they will move their operations elsewhere. Rental value growth has been directly affected by these events, as growth rates have dropped to their lowest index of the past 3 years in areas like Midtown and the West End. Continue reading “Overview of the London Commercial Property Market – 2nd Quarter 2016”

Overview of London’s Commercial Property Market – 1st Quarter 2016

During the past two years, the London commercial property market has performed strongly, ending on a high note in December 2015. However, and as expert analysts predicted, 2016 is set to bring about some qualitative changes into the capital’s commercial property market. Below you will find a detailed overview of how the market has fared during the first quarter of the year.

London Commercial Property Market Q1 2016: An Overview

Moderate rental growth has been the key theme emerging from the commercial real estate activity that has taken pace in London over the past quarter. Rents have remained relatively flat across all sub-markets (but especially so in the office sector) despite the rising interest rates. Investment activity also slowed down during Q1, and on this front average returns on commercial property were in the region of 7.5 per cent, slightly lower than 12 months ago. The slowdown has been evident in capital growth rates too, which averaged 2.9 per cent for central London offices, 4.1 per cent for retail properties, and 1.6 per cent for industrial space.

Another important theme that has emerged during the first quarter of this year relates to the impact that the so-called Brexit could have on a market where a large percentage of transactions are backed up by foreign investors. The vast majority of commercial property experts agree that commercial property prices would drop substantially should the UK leave the European Union. Britain’s exit could also result in a dramatic decline in the amount of foreign capital pouring into the London market. In fact, some market analysts affirm that European investors are already putting large-scale property purchases on hold – and may continue to do so until the vote takes place in June. Nevertheless, and until then, enquiries and demand for London properties should remain relatively strong, especially when compared to regional markets. Continue reading “Overview of London’s Commercial Property Market – 1st Quarter 2016”