Central London Office Market Report Q2 2022

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Central London Market Overview

Over the past few years, most major UK office markets have witnessed an occupier flight to quality. The priority seen when it comes to the leasing and acquisition of high quality office space is understandable, particularly when you consider the volatility and uncertainty that dominated the global commercial real estate market in recent times. As a wide range of businesses, particularly SMEs, continue to be unsure about whether or not in-person working will return to prior prominence. This reality makes putting pen to paper especially difficult, as physical occupancy levels remain difficult to gauge and physical spaces become harder to justify.

A flight to quality makes sound investment sense in a volatile market, largely due to high-end assets tending to at least retain their value during periods of uncertainty. Additionally, large firms with a heavy investment in the smooth transition back to the office, both in terms of time and money, have sought to secure quality space to attract their workforces back in a physical capacity.

This priority for tenancy in Grade A office space has been extremely clear in London for a number of years, resoundingly consolidating itself during the pandemic and continuing to show no signs of abating.

So, how exactly is the Central London office market faring after years of upheaval? In this Central London office market report, we take a look at the most current industry data, explore ramifications of this data, and predict where currently observed trends will lead us.

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West London Office Space Rental Costs & Vacancy Rates 2021

The West End is one of London’s prime areas for commercial real estate. This market has also been one of the most severely affected due to pandemic-related restrictions, which were felt sharply in addition to the uncertainty created by Brexit.

At the start of 2021, the general situation in the West End was marked by a 91% increase in availability compared to the previous year’s figures. More than 7 million square feet of office space were available in Q1 2021. Vacancy rates for the whole of West London were estimated at just over 8% in early 2021, which is double the rate of the Q1 2020 figure.

Both factors combined led to a slight decrease in prime headline rents, which were calculated at an average of £110 per square foot in Q1 2021. The downward trend in rental values is expected to continue into 2022 with a rent decline forecast between 7.5% and 12.5%.

The majority of deals that recently took place in this market came from the professional services sector and involved small offices of 5,000 sq ft and under. On the whole, occupiers still hesitate to commit to large spaces and/or long leases.

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